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165 posts · 9 claims · 31 hypotheses

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Build blueprint

Probabilistic Rules Engine

An open-source engine combining Jev judgments with auditable deterministic conditions.

Authored HypothesisSemantic features for conventional softwareHIGH confidenceIndie fit 10/10
Problem
Business rule systems are deterministic even when concepts such as urgency, fit, or risk are fuzzy.
Why Jev
Jev supplies probabilistic predicates; ordinary code composes and enforces them.
Architecture
Typed state → named Jev predicates → threshold/versioned rules → action and audit log.
Current alternative
Huge decision tables or LLM prompts returning JSON.
Jev advantage
Treats intelligent judgment as a testable rule primitive rather than an autonomous agent.
Unknowns
Threshold governance, drift monitoring, and debugging expectations.
1–7 day MVP
TypeScript DSL, local replay UI, and three example policies.
Validation experiment
Ask developers to replace one brittle rule tree and measure complexity and accuracy.

Why this confidence: This directly exposes Jev's typed probabilities as a software primitive.

This is an authored hypothesis derived from the research corpus. Nothing here demonstrates product demand, or that Jev performs well on this particular workload. Run the validation experiment before building past the MVP.

Sources

  • officialhttps://docs.typesafe.ai/primitives
  • officialhttps://typesafe.ai/blog/introducing-system-one-models-and-jev
  • socialhttps://x.com/i/web/status/2099928060644749682

Limitations

  • Threshold governance, drift monitoring, and debugging expectations.
  • This is a research hypothesis, not evidence of product demand or Jev performance in this workflow.

Supporting research

  • Probabilistic predicate + deterministic action PlausibleJev supplies fuzzy predicates while TypeScript, policies, and workflows execute constrained actions.
  • MAGI System on Jev ObservedAn open-source three-sage voting experiment inspired by Neon Genesis Evangelion.
  • Cheap decision calls could make tens or hundreds of semantic judgments per event economical. SpeculativeThe product design follows from published pricing and parallel question primitives, not independent production evidence.
  • Cascade router PlausibleA cheap decision chooses whether to use rules, a small model, a premium model, a specialist, or a human.
Record
opportunity:probabilistic-rules-engine
Canonical
/ideas/probabilistic-rules-engine
Last verified
2026-09-18